Ugly-Wren
0x221142303a2d8f55c13760d12cc2ce9dd133f15b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-277.69
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 81.3¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$813.50
$-0.00
- YES
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
1100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$786.50
$126.50
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
800 shares @ 88.1¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$738.00
$33.08
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
700 shares @ 82.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$549.50
$-24.45
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
645 shares @ 82.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$538.50
$4.93
- NO
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$450.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
1922 shares @ 11.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$374.70
$148.30
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 4.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$345.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
600 shares @ 58.3¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$300.00
$-49.90
- NO
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
306 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.34
$35.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.25May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 11, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.64May 10, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$449.99May 9, 20:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 6, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.93May 6, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 2, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $156.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".