Realistic-Flintlock
0x2222984fbe8f30dba0b26205d7bce349cec429a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$31.13
Total PnL
$-18.42
Realised
$3.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
40 shares @ 33.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$23.00
$9.50
- YES
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
707 shares @ 4.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.13
$-21.87
- YES
Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in March?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in March?
48 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.77
- YES
Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in March?
1 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?$82.48Apr 19, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$30.00Apr 17, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in March?$1.08Mar 31, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill London have less than 20mm of precipitation in March?$0.08Mar 31, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill London have less than 20mm of precipitation in March?$10.46Mar 31, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 20mm of precipitation in March?$3.56Mar 31, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 20mm of precipitation in March?$0.12Mar 31, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 20mm of precipitation in March?$2.02Mar 31, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 20mm of precipitation in March?$0.46Mar 31, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have less than 20mm of precipitation in March?$0.57Mar 31, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in March?$8.77Mar 22, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?$13.50Mar 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?$40.42Mar 14, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $9.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".