Ragged-Refuse
0x2254535e71d727864e9b6bd554a2b48ff22a89da
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$44.21
Total PnL
$-75.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
129 shares @ 23.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.01
$-11.99
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
17 shares @ 57.3¢·now 60.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.51
$0.51
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
32 shares @ 30.8¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
108 shares @ 9.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.84
$-5.16
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
25 shares @ 40.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.12
$-8.88
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
14 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$12.66Apr 25, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 25, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 25, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$10.00Mar 16, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?$10.00Mar 12, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?$50.00Mar 10, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.59Mar 8, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 4, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$80.69Mar 3, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$100.00Mar 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$10.00Mar 3, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?$40.70Mar 3, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$10.00Mar 3, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$20.00Mar 3, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Mar 2, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$10.00Mar 2, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?$10.00Mar 2, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$10.00Mar 2, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?$20.00Mar 2, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $22.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".