Surprised-Fraudster
0x22ae2ba7b96bc5841ae1fa47ae334937f6cbe3f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$101.60
Realised
$-1.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7410 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$389.02
$-11.12
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
1528 shares @ 13.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$328.55
$129.89
- NO
Blue wave in 2026?
809 shares @ 23.8¢·now 25.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$202.31
$9.26
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
729 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$156.71
$-3.64
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 14.3¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.75
$-1.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 35.9¢·now 24.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.02
$-8.63
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
452 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.20
$-2.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
279 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
75 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$28.36May 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$28.23May 16, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$36.98May 16, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$415.28May 16, 18:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$7.99May 11, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$7.13May 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.92May 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.45May 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$196.85May 11, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$197.06May 11, 16:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue wave in 2026?$144.61May 10, 16:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $70.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".