Alarmed-Oyster
0x22bfdbce977910d559672f37a33882b04cde8642
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$271.77
Total PnL
$-343.29
Realised
$14.16
Win rate
97%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
1298 shares @ 10.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.36
$-42.65
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
946 shares @ 13.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.86
$-39.66
- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.63
$6.63
- YES
Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.8%?
25 shares @ 29.8¢·now 44.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$11.02
$3.66
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
105 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
120 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.05
$1.05
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
284 shares @ 6.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.83
$-14.66
- YES
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.78
$-0.10
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
12 shares @ 15.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.70
$1.94
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
80 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.56
$-9.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.02May 15, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.07May 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.00May 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$0.49May 15, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.01May 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.67May 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.07May 15, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.79May 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.06May 15, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00May 15, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00May 15, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00May 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.03May 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.07May 15, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00May 15, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00May 15, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.33May 15, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.01May 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$2.02May 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$2.14May 15, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".