Failing-Pneumonia
0x22d3f8a94992261392eed316429b466d72895e3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$19.9K
Total PnL
$-52.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
18787 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$18.8K
$3.2K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4758 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$22.89
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$50.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
53367 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.0K
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
46306 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-218.66
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
42000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
41848 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.7K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
36311 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
34476 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.3K
- NO
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
17206 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.32May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$21.65May 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.10May 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.08May 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.20May 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.34May 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$44.00May 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$45.37May 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$526.94May 17, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$433.10May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?$51.74May 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$761.12May 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?$15.7KMay 17, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$35.39May 17, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$147.76May 17, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$171.75May 17, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$223.94May 17, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$289.81May 17, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$300.00May 17, 12:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $903.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".