Disguised-Leather
0x22dfa22a079be9bd438ee77469921d065407909a
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$192.62
Total PnL
$11.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
135 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$132.00
$12.00
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
23 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?
21 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$20.84
$-0.35
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
23 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$17.88
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$22.03May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$18.16May 15, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$120.00May 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$16.35May 15, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$27.31May 15, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$16.40Apr 16, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$27.35Apr 8, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$16.52Mar 30, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix dip to $0 in April?$10.07Mar 30, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?$21.19Mar 29, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix dip to $0 in April?$10.00Mar 20, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$16.54Mar 10, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$21.55Mar 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Green Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$13.20Mar 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$13.20Mar 2, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$21.40Mar 2, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the March meeting?$15.23Mar 2, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the March meeting?$15.20Feb 24, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$14.72Feb 24, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$15.21Feb 24, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $27.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".