Surprised-Longitude
0x23a73d9d79cf32b6304f4ca36dadb0abe103c7e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$57.02
Total PnL
$-107.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
931 shares @ 10.6¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.75
$-54.57
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.15
$-3.85
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$1.13
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$1.06
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 7?
912 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
156 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$58.29Apr 16, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$52.90Mar 22, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$98.33Mar 20, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$19.84Mar 18, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$18.00Mar 18, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$37.84Mar 18, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$12.39Mar 16, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.85Mar 16, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 7, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$15.00Mar 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$10.00Mar 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$20.00Mar 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$20.00Mar 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$69.86Mar 1, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?$14.00Jan 7, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 7?$10.00Jan 7, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 6?$2.00Jan 6, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.67Jan 6, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.12Jan 6, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?$1.00Jan 6, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $19.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 17:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".