Large-Cesspool
0x244d72b6799f3c84b2c1141f664e7790cc606154
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$101.44
Total PnL
$-96.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?
97 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$96.95
$-0.05
- BEN SHELTON
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton
6 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$4.49
$-0.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?
705 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 2?
691 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 20?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 20?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?
505 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$97.01May 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$90.87May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton$4.56May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$91.02May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$91.88May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$92.02May 18, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$102.10May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$102.01May 17, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$101.41May 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$101.02May 16, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$101.70May 16, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$101.50May 15, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?$101.30May 15, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?$101.02May 14, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$94.89May 14, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$95.00May 14, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$1.53May 14, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$102.81May 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$102.34May 13, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$102.39May 13, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $90.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".