Jittery-Drop
0x2475c89ba11ca1939cefadc334fd1f45368b32d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$132.40
Total PnL
$-113.12
Realised
$-6.92
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
714 shares @ 8.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.38
$-11.09
- YES
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Deiveson Figueiredo next?
116 shares @ 28.0¢·now 37.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.69
$11.19
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
24 shares @ 53.1¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.61
$1.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?
2219 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.32
$-77.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$7.97
$7.01
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
14 shares @ 30.8¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.82
$0.64
- YES
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
13 shares @ 42.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.74
$-3.75
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 12?
377 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 11?
81 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?$1.00Apr 14, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?$1.00Apr 14, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?$6.18Apr 14, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on April 13?$1.00Apr 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$1.00Apr 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$1.00Apr 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 13?$1.00Apr 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 13?$1.00Apr 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$0.41Apr 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$63.48Apr 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$36.52Apr 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$0.39Apr 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$2.56Apr 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$0.53Apr 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$1.71Apr 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 12?$16.67Apr 12, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$1.73Apr 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.91Apr 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$4.30Apr 12, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".