Curly-Plywood
0x249b9659d3c89d7b51f21a5897087be3480a38dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$166.92
Total PnL
$-69.19
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
168 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$166.92
$-0.08
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Lakers
48 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- GRIZZLIES
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies
46 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Thunder
35 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- NETS
Nets vs. Heat
34 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- SPURS
Nuggets vs. Spurs
31 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
30 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Hawks
27 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- GRIZZLIES
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
26 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$167.03May 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?$174.81May 18, 13:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?$175.01May 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$202.75May 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$203.04May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$175.77May 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$176.05May 16, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$150.84May 16, 07:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$151.01May 15, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$179.80May 15, 03:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$180.01May 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$155.61May 14, 14:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$156.06May 13, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$174.78May 11, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$175.03May 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$161.82May 11, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $176.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".