Playful-Lawn
0x24aab9f0ffe38a718f988760f5d27c8418317e0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
529 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$515.67
$15.45
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
762 shares @ 67.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$407.56
$-102.81
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
1760 shares @ 33.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$290.43
$-296.22
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
800 shares @ 66.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.00
$-256.00
- YES
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
228 shares @ 89.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$221.69
$17.84
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
250 shares @ 86.9¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$210.00
$-7.20
- NO
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
170 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.45
$5.95
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
790 shares @ 57.9¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.77
$-328.93
- NO
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.21
$-1.79
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00May 13, 08:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$155.00May 2, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$200.00May 2, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$300.00May 2, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $50.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".