Surprised-Point
0x24bb267d0eed85cde28714bc7dcbf5e0a977c9f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.38
Total PnL
$-37.17
Realised
$0.54
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.30
$-0.10
- YES
Will Matheus Cunha be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
508 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will Jean-Philippe Mateta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
496 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will Quintavius "Q" Burdette win Survivor Season 50?
482 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.24
$-0.24
- YES
Will Florian Wirtz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
453 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.23
$-0.23
- YES
Will Artem Dovbyk be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.20
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.40May 17, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Florian Wirtz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.04May 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.40May 17, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.01May 17, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.39May 17, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$0.40May 16, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.62May 14, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Temple be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.15May 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.80May 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.40May 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembele be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.20May 11, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTom Holland announced as next James Bond?$0.80May 10, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Jeff Clark as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.62May 10, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.20May 10, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.11May 10, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?$0.20May 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.40May 10, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.41May 10, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?$0.00May 10, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".