Messy-Afternoon
0x25277d4502d61792395b5d4282774c3e60384bee
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$978.54
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$9.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$481.75
$46.75
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?
400 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$399.40
$-0.20
- NO
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$55.83
$-0.57
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
140 shares @ 96.8¢·now 28.3¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$39.61
$-95.91
- YES
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
17 shares @ 87.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.96
$-12.86
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-968.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$323.93May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.7KMay 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.7KMay 15, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$700.00May 13, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$995.00May 13, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.0KMay 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$991.30May 13, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$982.18May 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$199.60May 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$499.07May 12, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$1.59May 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?$399.62May 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$309.91May 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$996.16May 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?$976.93May 11, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$249.98May 4, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?$1.7KMay 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$1.0KMay 1, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.38May 1, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$90.98May 1, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $387.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".