Third-Loft
0x252cb38c5b3f19a744f02626d52d6f0bd0e9391a
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-54.76
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
1395 shares @ 75.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$1.4K
$344.46
- NO
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
857 shares @ 86.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$672.75
$-64.27
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
492 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$410.82
$-2.46
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
446 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$352.34
$-8.92
- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
637 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$318.50
$0.00
- NO
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
49 shares @ 74.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$46.33
$10.07
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
2376 shares @ 13.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$45.14
$-285.12
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
142 shares @ 26.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$9.23
$-27.69
- YES
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?
833 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-449.82
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 10PM ET
630 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-315.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$93.24Apr 27, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$93.84Apr 27, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$90.72Apr 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$98.28Apr 24, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$101.66Apr 24, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$101.01Apr 24, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?$737.02Apr 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$188.76Apr 21, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$44.46Apr 21, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$92.04Apr 21, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$95.16Apr 21, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$236.48Apr 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?$674.70Apr 21, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$86.90Apr 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Healthcare" or "Health care" 6+ times during NYC rally?$15.78Apr 12, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$14.56Apr 12, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$78.52Apr 12, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$467.04Apr 12, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Healthcare" or "Health care" 6+ times during NYC rally?$3.99Apr 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?$57.84Apr 12, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $193.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 02:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".