0x2557beeaee4fad202beea5fc5d202e325b412adf
0x2557beeaee4fad202beea5fc5d202e325b412adf
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$154.49
Total PnL
$-49.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.36
$1.36
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.92
$0.03
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
16 shares @ 58.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.15
$1.15
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
13 shares @ 68.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.55
$-0.61
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
13 shares @ 41.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$8.32
$2.95
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.20
$-0.40
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
14 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$8.06
$-0.07
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
9 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.9B?
8 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.92
$0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$2.61May 16, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$8.26May 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$8.65May 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$5.44May 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$4.96May 15, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.25May 15, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.89May 15, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.16May 14, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.9B?$6.09May 14, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?$4.53May 14, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 13?$11.00May 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$5.98May 13, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$8.10May 13, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$8.97May 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 13?$4.62May 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$5.28May 13, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?$11.21May 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 11 2026?$2.93May 12, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April?$11.41May 12, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?$13.52May 12, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".