Unwelcome-Smell
0x263c55a057a148b446becea8b1cb1240e99b87a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-217.63
Realised
$114.75
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
463 shares @ 79.8¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$359.16
$-10.59
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
286 shares @ 86.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$276.12
$27.79
- $3,000
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
371 shares @ 70.6¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$232.13
$-30.00
- NO
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
261 shares @ 80.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$223.56
$14.21
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
205 shares @ 81.2¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.07
$-2.54
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
200 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
200 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
213 shares @ 51.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.59
$-15.88
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
100 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.60
$0.10
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.53
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$71.29May 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$0.98May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$0.36May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$23.30May 18, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$41.38May 18, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$2.86May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$0.16May 17, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$4.64May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$4.00May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$2.91May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$4.94May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$0.02May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$1.64May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$1.07May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$2.28May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$0.88May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$0.58May 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$40.00May 17, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$4.00May 17, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $40.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".