Vigilant-Thistle
0x264bf42e23a945a38a0c9251f8197cb3be2fcf7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-68.15
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3086 shares @ 8.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$254.63
$4.63
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
992 shares @ 25.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$193.35
$-56.65
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$143.10
$43.10
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1333 shares @ 7.5¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.20
$-4.80
- YES
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.08
$-26.92
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.65
$-32.35
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.29
$-35.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.76
$0.76
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
941 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.53
$-2.47
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
409 shares @ 11.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$46.42
$-0.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.62May 15, 03:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$256.89May 13, 15:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$400.00May 12, 03:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $91.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".