Tattered-Childbirth
0x264d771891838edb443cb2d39fc4aa1bb58a6f2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$9.4K
Total PnL
$-545.28
Realised
$106.56
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
9948 shares @ 80.2¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$7.6K
$-414.07
- YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?
1186 shares @ 88.3¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$71.77
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
251 shares @ 78.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$233.86
$37.08
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
260 shares @ 77.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$190.91
$-9.09
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
685 shares @ 43.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$188.39
$-109.61
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3922 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$96.08
$-8.91
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?
109 shares @ 42.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$34.33
$-11.45
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
271 shares @ 4.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.88
$-6.12
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$188.45May 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$158.77May 17, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$158.71May 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?$47.11May 15, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$202.30May 15, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$249.61May 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$146.36May 15, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$146.25May 15, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$39.67May 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$15.33May 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$25.97May 14, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$51.95May 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.20May 14, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.35May 14, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$16.63May 14, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$126.75May 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$84.61May 14, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?$1.00May 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?$10.04May 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?$100.40May 13, 21:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $102.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".