Close-Breastplate
0x26519b477f1cd031919e18f33fd8d3fcb48c3471
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-386.21
Realised
$-147.18
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
74963 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$123.09
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
42177 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$109.83
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13400 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$649.89
$98.76
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1800 shares @ 14.6¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$456.30
$194.10
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
31883 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$366.65
$-185.91
- YES
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
34092 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$323.88
$25.26
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
1205 shares @ 45.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$307.26
$-239.86
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14113 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$268.15
$-62.61
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1400 shares @ 7.8¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$194.60
$85.40
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
147 shares @ 34.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.08
$35.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?$3.02May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?$5.00May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?$8.25May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$272.60May 18, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$2.10May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$40.00May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$1.00May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$220.00May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?$7.61May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$29.00May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?$60.74May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$27.00May 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?$57.98May 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$20.22May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$65.91May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?$0.72May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$5.21May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 18?$4.81May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$28.03May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$25.08May 18, 04:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $39.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 21:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".