Scaly-Halfbrother
0x2663daca3cecf3767ca1c3b126002a8578a8ed1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$145.8K
Total PnL
$37.1K
Realised
$46.5K
Win rate
55%
154 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
627639 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.5K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38775 shares @ 0.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.3K
$3.0K
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
936458 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.3K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
541499 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.0K
$-631.39
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
659588 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.0K
$-1.7K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7699 shares @ 0.8¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$2.7K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
31115 shares @ 0.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$2.4K
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
42568 shares @ 1.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$2.1K
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1063587 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.7K
$-578.59
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
749493 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.6K
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.56May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.34May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.01May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.28May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.39May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.32May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.32May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.46May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.68May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.82May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.97May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.60May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.68May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.97May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.59May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.78May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.13May 18, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 154 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".