Quirky-Dramaturge
0x267598937a88a02fbbf29df71c7ca19ddcb1e4da
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$80.34
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$136.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
1204 shares @ 9.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.13
$-73.87
- YES
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.91
$3.91
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.19
$2.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.21
$-4.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.90
$-8.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.61
$-8.39
- NO
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.40
$-9.60
- YES
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$21.45May 17, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.11May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$71.21May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$10.00May 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$20.58May 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$51.10May 12, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$30.90May 12, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.37May 12, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on May 12?$10.36May 12, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 12?$10.38May 12, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?$10.39May 12, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$51.81May 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?$10.37May 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$178.74May 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$8.76May 11, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$28.81May 11, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$51.45May 11, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$102.96May 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$17.58May 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.46May 11, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".