Third-Ikebana
0x26a41febf38c9d4b5594bff1e49065b5ad9c49bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-310.78
Realised
$250.37
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$322.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$569.80
$-430.20
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
309 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$291.72
$7.72
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
1165 shares @ 16.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$157.22
$-34.12
- NO
Chirayu Rana divorced?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.97
$5.97
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.20
$-5.40
- NO
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
20 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$19.99
$0.88
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.50
$1.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
14 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.40
$0.37
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
419 shares @ 83.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-348.57
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.06May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$22.96May 16, 00:00 UTC
- MERGESPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?$2.0KMay 15, 13:34 UTC
- MERGEStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.5KMay 15, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$60.00May 15, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$440.00May 15, 10:42 UTC
- SPLITSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?$2.0KMay 15, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?$22.00May 15, 06:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.92May 15, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$36.67May 15, 00:00 UTC
- SPLITStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.0KMay 14, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$330.00May 14, 17:53 UTC
- SPLITStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.0KMay 14, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$24.29May 14, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.57May 14, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$11.34May 14, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$39.00May 14, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$36.60May 14, 17:15 UTC
- MERGEStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.5KMay 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$43.36May 14, 15:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $104.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".