Drafty-Sideburns
0x26bf611b093f1c278f1aa50549f1c027c130b413
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.83
Total PnL
$-15.10
Realised
$-0.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
2 shares @ 5.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.18
$0.07
- YES
Will Partido Novo (NOVO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
35 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.07
$-1.33
- YES
Will Avante (Avante) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
35 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.07
$-0.63
- YES
Will Federação PSOL REDE (PSOL-REDE) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
35 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.05
$-1.35
- YES
Will Mark Kenneth Arness be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
30 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.04
$-0.85
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.01
- YES
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.78
- POLYNESIA
WTT - Men's Singles: French Polynesia vs Moldova
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- MAROUSSI
PAOK vs. Maroussi
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?$0.11May 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?$0.67May 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?$0.22May 13, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$1.00May 13, 16:39 UTC
- REWARD$7.09May 4, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Warsh" this week?$3.11May 3, 10:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.83May 1, 00:46 UTC
- REWARD$12.71May 1, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$174.58Apr 30, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.04Apr 30, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$16.20Apr 30, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$6.00Apr 30, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00Apr 30, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.70Apr 30, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$9.80Apr 30, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$178.20Apr 30, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.60Apr 30, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.38Apr 30, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$0.36Apr 30, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$13.35Apr 30, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $20.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 22:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".