Vague-Tank
0x26ec8a80b71ad806beb78eb58b7d77a740b1682c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$17.11
Total PnL
$-47.74
Realised
$1.24
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?
51 shares @ 6.5¢·now 25.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.03
$9.66
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?
105 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$3.62
$0.26
- YES
Will London have between 5-10mm of precipitation in May?
15 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.02
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?
155 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?
59 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
49 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
42 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET
39 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?
21 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$3.49May 18, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$0.36May 18, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00May 18, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.25May 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.02May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$1.05May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$3.03May 18, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.09May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.49May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.10May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.51May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.05May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.66May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.09May 18, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$74.35May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.29May 17, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET$1.07May 16, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".