Sunny-Hierarchy
0x2743bac12d11ca86763195e218d58cf48962872c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$67.52
Total PnL
$-102.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.58
$4.58
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$-5.00
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
31 shares @ 64.2¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-10.50
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.38
$-11.62
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
94 shares @ 10.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.73
$-6.27
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
467 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.03
$-6.97
- YES
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
100 shares @ 19.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.41
$-17.59
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
444 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.89
$-19.11
- YES
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
439 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.00Mar 20, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$0.00Mar 20, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$0.00Mar 20, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?$19.79Feb 5, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$22.22Feb 5, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?$37.04Feb 5, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$20.00Jan 25, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on January 8?$0.00Jan 25, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 8?$0.00Jan 25, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jan 25, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 15?$0.00Jan 25, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 15?$10.00Jan 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on January 8?$39.96Jan 8, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 8?$20.00Jan 8, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 8?$20.00Jan 8, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 8?$20.00Jan 8, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$0.00Jan 8, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$0.00Jan 8, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jan 8, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $17.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 14:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".