Golden-Chivalry
0x2762873b815644d5b13790aeed3fcaed7d222cf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$63.37
Realised
$148.83
Win rate
66%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
350 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$334.24
$3.52
- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$307.50
$57.50
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$240.00
$0.92
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 91.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$236.26
$8.24
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 82.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$232.50
$-15.46
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
250 shares @ 86.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.25
$-0.36
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
300 shares @ 72.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.50
$-11.87
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$198.51
$6.82
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
196 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$193.00
$0.90
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$192.50
$-57.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?$19.75May 18, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?$8.80May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?$9.62May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$10.81May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$9.99May 18, 01:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.42May 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.96May 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$8.16May 17, 21:50 UTC
- MERGETrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.69May 17, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.93May 17, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?$19.02May 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$47.65May 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$48.30May 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?$3.84May 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$44.54May 17, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolfgang Grozo win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00May 17, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called in 2026?$5.42May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?$19.81May 17, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?$0.00May 17, 19:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".