Double-Simplicity
0x27967bf928ce82c29cf34389ba34c5759c8cb4f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$16.9K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
100%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 11.8¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.7K
$-223.10
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.4K
$940.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$-36.10
- NO
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
761 shares @ 78.2¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$585.73
$-8.85
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$559.50
$-940.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
1276 shares @ 39.8¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$465.68
$-42.41
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 92.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$462.51
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
750 shares @ 59.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$423.68
$-23.82
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$422.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 87.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$417.49
$-17.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$210.00May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?$197.50May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$4.90May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$49.00May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$34.32May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$110.83May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$4.85May 18, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$167.49May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$44.84May 18, 01:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$19.68May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.47May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$155.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$168.58May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.95May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$250.00May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$295.00May 18, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$152.50May 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$132.50May 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$26.42May 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$190.64May 17, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $61.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".