Fickle-Halt-Window
0x279c5de35108afc30b99f09e595555b428e92b82
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$12.2K
Total PnL
$652.93
Realised
$311.71
Win rate
62%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
5532 shares @ 85.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$-40.59
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2868 shares @ 50.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$168.17
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
742 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$722.64
$55.35
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
990 shares @ 58.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$588.93
$8.66
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
801 shares @ 64.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$508.59
$-7.17
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
559 shares @ 72.9¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$399.70
$-8.07
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
565 shares @ 65.2¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$347.78
$-20.93
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
368 shares @ 85.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$333.46
$19.91
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
279 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$276.24
$0.98
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
414 shares @ 66.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$275.14
$1.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$6.76May 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$15.20May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$17.55May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$14.80May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$22.80May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$6.34May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.24May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$7.81May 18, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$14.85May 18, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.37May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$10.01May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$52.39May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$14.04May 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$15.73May 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$5.36May 18, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.60May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$5.48May 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$4.20May 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$7.31May 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.10May 18, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".