Humble-Precipitation
0x27da7fa22aa2704ac3c1ba77233d86956e31d24a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.29
Total PnL
$-679.14
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.96
$0.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
10 shares @ 21.5¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.30
$-1.84
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?$2.14May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$5.00May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$4.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?$5.00May 18, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$10.16May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?$4.98May 17, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?$2.50May 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Comrade" this week?$2.00May 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$10.00May 17, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.01May 17, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?$2.01May 17, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$7.01May 17, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$5.88May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$7.00May 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$5.54May 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?$4.75May 16, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$3.53May 16, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$5.45May 16, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?$6.00May 16, 19:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".