Linear-Leaver
0x2811fa36ab944e265c3f5963e00914170b8f6818
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-14.92
Realised
$8.94
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
1036 shares @ 87.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$937.46
$32.67
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
246 shares @ 91.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$222.78
$-2.85
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
219 shares @ 83.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$191.33
$8.64
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.95
$-1.05
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.38
$1.37
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
44 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.51
$0.64
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$40.79
$0.79
- NO
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
42 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
23 shares @ 85.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$22.35
$2.35
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.21
$2.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$18.95May 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$8.13May 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$30.13May 16, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$21.77May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$12.05May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$18.06May 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$10.07May 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$20.80May 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$20.15May 15, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$10.00May 15, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$20.00May 15, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$20.79May 15, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$15.35May 15, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$21.18May 15, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$15.03May 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$20.00May 15, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.00May 15, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $16.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".