Aged-Scenery
0x2814d522137052b40427447288bcd67fb6375596
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-359.10
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
3935 shares @ 11.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$354.17
$-104.31
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
2083 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$270.83
$20.84
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
1668 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$225.17
$-24.83
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
624 shares @ 56.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$215.14
$-134.86
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
604 shares @ 41.4¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.33
$-62.67
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
261 shares @ 76.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$126.73
$-71.81
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.55
$-20.45
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1042 shares @ 9.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.60
$-22.39
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$3.90May 18, 04:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.50May 17, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.75May 17, 12:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$4.75May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.75May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$3.75May 16, 11:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.84May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$6.80May 15, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$0.61May 15, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$5.00May 15, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$3.90May 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$177.56May 15, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$59.19May 15, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$4.30May 14, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.27May 14, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $16.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".