Deficient-Warmth
0x282f3973673e8907223fb329d9c0e20cec1788b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$288.05
Total PnL
$-2.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
307 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.16
$-10.74
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.18
$13.18
- YES
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?
69 shares @ 14.4¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$22.54
$12.54
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
48 shares @ 37.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.06
$4.12
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
81 shares @ 24.7¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.86
$1.86
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
72 shares @ 27.6¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.01
$-1.99
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$5.00
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.79
$4.79
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.25
$-2.75
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.88
$1.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 12, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$0.00May 12, 23:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.00May 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$39.90May 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?$5.16May 9, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?$5.00May 9, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 9, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$5.00May 9, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00May 9, 12:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $11.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".