Poor-Casualty
0x283dc5e9fcd5a7e03e8198db0147de4e2dfd221a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$84.22
Total PnL
$-16.19
Realised
$1.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
76 shares @ 64.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.72
$4.33
- YES
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
134 shares @ 37.3¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.15
$-21.85
- UNDER
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$2.34
$0.09
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
16 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.01
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCanadiens vs. Sabres$4.81May 18, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5$0.00May 18, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5$0.00May 18, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-5.5)$4.21May 18, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-2.5)$11.63May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$9.80May 18, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)$3.03May 18, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMReal Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5$0.00May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$0.00May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5$0.00May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.71May 18, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals$9.26May 18, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: OGC Nice (-1.5)$10.64May 18, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5$3.59May 18, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.20May 18, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5$0.77May 18, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Pistons (-5.5)$0.28May 18, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".