Elated-Replication
0x284f68dbc02b7e697c11c90d73e6e541e3f91b51
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-12.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5151 shares @ 8.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$425.00
$8.73
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2514 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$418.53
$4.01
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26154 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$405.38
$-13.08
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
115 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.02
$0.57
- NO
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 67.7¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.20
$-7.80
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.17
$-3.98
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.08
$-0.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56.62May 16, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.38May 16, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.25May 16, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$28.35May 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257.38May 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$256.26May 13, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$256.89May 13, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.27May 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.83May 13, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.75May 13, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$14.13May 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.16May 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.48May 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.38May 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.25May 13, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $79.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".