Ironclad-Diamond
0x2869efa18cb55b1d8e9a5a607b90f33044bb527d
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$742.93
Total PnL
$-233.70
Realised
$903.78
Win rate
77%
121 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
60 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$59.97
$5.07
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
61 shares @ 86.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$58.82
$6.26
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
50 shares @ 82.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$44.75
$3.45
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 56.4¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$35.33
$5.36
- NO
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
57 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.24
$0.00
- YES
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
40 shares @ 47.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$33.00
$14.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
42 shares @ 65.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.13
$4.71
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
38 shares @ 70.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.30
$3.62
- NO
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
40 shares @ 78.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.20
$-1.13
- NO
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
30 shares @ 90.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.69
$1.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$24.23May 18, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?$25.00May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 20?$0.06May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on May 20?$6.24May 18, 04:56 UTC
- MERGEWill Lecce be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?$14.00May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or higher on May 20?$14.16May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 20?$18.25May 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 20?$3.65May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 20?$7.20May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 12°C on May 20?$0.05May 18, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 11°C or below on May 20?$0.05May 18, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?$2.88May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?$1.92May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on May 20?$5.40May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 20?$0.90May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 20?$7.12May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 20?$0.30May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 20?$0.30May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 20?$0.30May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 20?$0.30May 18, 04:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 121 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".