Grandiose-Ornament
0x286fdd557c40190613d603dbed12dc29a60382a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$49.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
303 shares @ 75.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$222.51
$-5.18
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
218 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$202.07
$2.07
- NO
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
130 shares @ 77.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$118.73
$18.73
- NO
Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$97.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
95 shares @ 68.5¢·now 93.9¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$89.08
$24.08
- NO
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
127 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$80.40
$-0.70
- NO
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
64 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$52.66
$0.33
- NO
Will Fenerbahçe Beko win the 2025-26 Euroleague?
54 shares @ 62.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$45.23
$11.62
- NO
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
57 shares @ 75.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$38.56
$-4.28
- YES
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$22.65
$3.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.06May 12, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$98.00May 10, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zalgiris Kaunas win the 2025-26 Euroleague?$33.14May 9, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$200.81May 9, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$27.84May 8, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$15.00May 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$100.69May 5, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$12.50May 4, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$123.39May 4, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$22.22May 4, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$48.99May 4, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$52.98May 4, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$50.00May 2, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00May 2, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$11.11May 2, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.19May 2, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.21May 2, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.20May 2, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$26.18May 2, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$14.57May 2, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $30.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 19:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 19:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".