Discrete-Bike
0x28e84b9633b51963fedd96a360a208b65a621291
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$37.88
Total PnL
$-16.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 94.5¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.78
$0.12
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
3 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$0.02
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 96.7¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.47
$-0.08
- NO
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.16
$0.03
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
2 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.89
$0.07
- NO
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.86
$0.03
- NO
Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.83
$0.01
- NO
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.80
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.22May 17, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$1.73May 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brighton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.43May 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?$1.50May 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.56May 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.04May 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?$2.56May 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$55.57May 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?$1.03May 17, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$5.20Apr 22, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$30.00Apr 22, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?$1.02Apr 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?$1.04Apr 18, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?$1.23Apr 18, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?$2.02Apr 18, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$2.08Apr 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.00Apr 16, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$1.68Apr 10, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 4?$1.02Apr 10, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?$5.03Apr 10, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".