Hopeful-Derby
0x29621b089f12ad2b0b644c4dd33e453864e23924
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$39.42
Total PnL
$-9.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 85.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.92
$0.07
- NO
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.68
$0.06
- NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.21
$0.13
- YES
Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.09
$-0.72
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.00
$-0.00
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
4 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.69
$0.17
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.33
$0.13
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$4.01May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$4.00May 14, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.46May 14, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.18May 14, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?$95.00May 14, 10:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.38May 1, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?$41.11May 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?$53.43Apr 30, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 30?$5.20Apr 30, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 30?$80.03Apr 30, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$3.3KApr 30, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$1.0KApr 30, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$2.2KApr 30, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$9.98Apr 30, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?$199.60Apr 30, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$38.37Apr 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$90.00Apr 30, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$10.00Apr 30, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$9.00Apr 30, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?$20.00Apr 30, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $151.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".