Tight-Muscatel
0x2965566554770169d5f1e887f7cc9d5b528ec74a
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-20.2K
Realised
$112.78
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- PACQUIAO
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
1480 shares @ 36.4¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$554.85
$16.89
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
4782 shares @ 8.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$263.00
$-157.44
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
353 shares @ 12.9¢·now 28.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$98.83
$53.13
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
456 shares @ 39.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.73
$-98.90
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.76
$1.75
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
7 shares @ 53.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.82
$-0.96
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
34 shares @ 9.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$-1.73
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
14642 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
14272 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-293.78
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
14272 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-664.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$3.29Apr 12, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$13.42Apr 8, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$2.0KApr 7, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$720.28Apr 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$918.09Apr 2, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$806.00Apr 2, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$1.80Apr 1, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$601.12Apr 1, 12:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.32Mar 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum flipped in 2026?$81.49Mar 26, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum flipped in 2026?$6.34Mar 26, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum flipped in 2026?$10.40Mar 26, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$228.09Mar 26, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum flipped in 2026?$2.0KMar 26, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum flipped in 2026?$2.5KMar 26, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?$0.00Mar 26, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$99.60Mar 26, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum flipped in 2026?$1.5KMar 26, 08:31 UTC
- REWARD$0.86Mar 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Mar 13, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $258.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 09:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".