0x296dd213c78bae58a5a9495575772d933e6596fb
0x296dd213c78bae58a5a9495575772d933e6596fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$89.58
Total PnL
$-6.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 63.7¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.80
$-5.63
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.74
$1.79
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.76
$0.76
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.28
$-3.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$77.54May 3, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.09May 3, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?$5.24May 3, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$5.19May 3, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.13May 1, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00May 1, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.00Apr 28, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$9.95Apr 28, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $18.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 10:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".