Crowded-Distance
0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$461.4K
Total PnL
$-41.2K
Realised
$-5.7K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
565944 shares @ 69.4¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$393.3K
$464.07
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
26488 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$22.9K
$-671.51
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
18769 shares @ 77.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.6K
$2.1K
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
16861 shares @ 70.8¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.0K
$-1.9K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
9537 shares @ 75.3¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.0K
$-1.2K
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
2913 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.8K
$-32.69
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
3388 shares @ 78.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.7K
$68.07
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8777 shares @ 57.6¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.5K
$-2.5K
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
4761 shares @ 78.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$-1.5K
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
1701 shares @ 76.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$200.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.78May 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.42May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$18.84May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$3.6KMay 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.30May 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.7KMay 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$388.57May 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.0KMay 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.0KMay 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.0KMay 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$600.00May 17, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$2.0KMay 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$857.00May 17, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$4.4KMay 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$15.0KMay 17, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$26.2KMay 17, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$50.16May 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.0KMay 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$9.0KMay 16, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$10.1KMay 16, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 18:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".