Warm-Porpoise
0x29879c31053b633b653d3c1b2ce81d4af8508512
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
114
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$3.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- NO
Revolut IPO before 2027?
106 shares @ 84.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.62
$8.73
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
32 shares @ 89.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.98
$-0.52
- NO
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
30 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.77
$0.33
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.55
$2.25
- NO
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.61
$-0.39
- YES
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
20 shares @ 88.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.51
$1.81
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.70
$2.10
- NO
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
15 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.44
$0.94
- NO
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
15 shares @ 94.2¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.39
$-0.01
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
16 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.25
$0.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump posts himself as Jesus again in April?$10.00May 5, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00May 5, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$10.00May 5, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$10.00May 5, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.00May 5, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$10.00May 5, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$10.00May 5, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".