Sneaky-Assertion
0x29a1ccae81f6b9fc0822f3027b2e34fabc645645
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$945.22
Total PnL
$-143.16
Realised
$-45.17
Win rate
50%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
400 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$381.20
$-1.09
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
133 shares @ 77.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$122.70
$20.37
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
90 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.25
$-0.45
- YES
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
90 shares @ 33.7¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.45
$-2.85
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 43.9¢·now 30.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.26
$-12.24
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
60 shares @ 53.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.70
$-5.10
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
45 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$25.87
$-0.68
- YES
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
67 shares @ 51.8¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.24
$-9.63
- UNDER
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
25 shares @ 45.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$24.94
$13.55
- UNDER
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
24 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$24.21
$10.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$26.55May 18, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$83.70May 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$0.14May 18, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.87May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5$12.74May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$18.13May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$12.63May 18, 05:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$3.08May 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$6.64May 17, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$0.01May 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?$8.70May 17, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$1.27May 17, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$15.52May 17, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$0.81May 17, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$1.62May 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLPisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5$5.30May 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$4.91May 17, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$0.25May 17, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5$7.80May 17, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $13.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".