Assured-Merchandise
0x29d3bacd2438bf4f03520484587ff3c0c8d5619b
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$528.90
Total PnL
$-127.04
Realised
$53.10
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1872 shares @ 7.6¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$159.15
$16.69
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
602 shares @ 17.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$129.43
$24.75
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
165 shares @ 33.3¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$58.45
$3.70
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
113 shares @ 44.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.44
$-5.56
- YES
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
753 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$41.42
$-0.58
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
44 shares @ 57.4¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.49
$3.54
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.75
$-6.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 26.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.55
$-1.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 37.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.18
$-1.82
- YES
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
537 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.78
$-12.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$15.00Apr 21, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$49.70Apr 21, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$29.00Apr 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$50.00Apr 21, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.00Apr 21, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5.00Apr 21, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".