Flat-Badger
0x2a019dc0089ea8c6edbbafc8a7cc9ba77b4b6397
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$194.9K
Total PnL
$10.7K
Realised
$6.4K
Win rate
96%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
40120 shares @ 93.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$38.2K
$762.40
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
30000 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.9K
$472.35
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
19775 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.6K
$393.16
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
14100 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$14.0K
$398.21
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
13365 shares @ 94.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.0K
$282.38
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
12231 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.1K
$372.55
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
13049 shares @ 87.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.7K
$209.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
10673 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.6K
$338.79
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
10000 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.9K
$295.87
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
7000 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.9K
$60.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?$1.2KMay 18, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$3.6KMay 18, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$2.0KMay 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.9KMay 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.0KMay 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.0KMay 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.8KMay 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.4KMay 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$332.33May 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$16.30May 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$882.29May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.0KMay 18, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.44May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$30.79May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$283.83May 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.9KMay 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.2KMay 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$194.08May 17, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$491.03May 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$274.26May 17, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $711.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".