Misguided-Passport
0x2a1410533fe6abeeff9d124a51f023539b64e0fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$40.7K
Total PnL
$-16.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.8K
$-10.00
- NO
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20000 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.8K
$-10.00
- NO
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
806 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$800.40
$0.40
- NO
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
156 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$154.67
$-0.23
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
107 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.75
$3.75
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.55May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00May 17, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$203.41May 17, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$100.09May 17, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$100.15May 17, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.94May 17, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.02May 17, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.06May 17, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMZandschulp vs. Halys: Match O/U 22.5$2.50May 17, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19.8KMay 17, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$19.8KMay 17, 04:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13.52May 16, 01:27 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.36May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43.15May 16, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53.07May 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.83May 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.29May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$59.34May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$57.10May 15, 23:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$19.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 17, 04:40 UTC → May 17, 04:29 UTC
- BUYWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$19.8K@99¢May 17, 04:29 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$19.8K
1 trades
30d volume
$19.8K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$19.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".