Livid-Bolero
0x2a346a21e8f70e0a5cb20e891830d2dcdfed4273
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$40.66
Total PnL
$-188.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.48
$1.48
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
16 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
57 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.87
$-2.13
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-2.88
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.51
$-1.49
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
276 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Trump resign in 2025?
144 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 3, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?$5.26Mar 3, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$4.00Jan 4, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00Jan 4, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$5.00Jan 4, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$2.00Jan 4, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?$7.38Jan 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$4.07Jan 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?$2.30Jan 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$1.74Jan 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$1.98Jan 3, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?$3.40Jan 3, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 3, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 11?$20.00Jan 3, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?$2.00Jan 3, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $13.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".