Steep-Dough
0x2a3e16916cfdc41561018568bb10ddca42bb883d
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$589.81
Total PnL
$-1.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
107 shares @ 93.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$102.61
$2.61
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$101.67
$1.67
- NO
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
105 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$94.90
$-5.10
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
273 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
287 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.99
$-1.01
- NO
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$19.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.09May 18, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.04May 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.31May 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$10.04May 18, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$10.01May 18, 16:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$10.01May 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$102.04May 14, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.68May 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.13May 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.23May 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 14, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$100.19May 14, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?$100.30May 14, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.21May 14, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $42.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".