Untidy-Folklore
0x2a4b2015d2e6cad6b02148aaba9ec821f13ff9c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$37.20
Total PnL
$-39.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.90
$12.90
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
8 shares @ 38.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.77
$4.77
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
35 shares @ 45.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.58
$-14.42
- NO
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
61 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?
54 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
17 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?
14 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$3.09May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$17.69May 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$12.57May 16, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?$10.00Mar 6, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$12.00Feb 28, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$18.87Feb 28, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$32.76Feb 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.00Feb 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$19.00Feb 22, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.00Jan 31, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMBattle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios$9.52Jan 17, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$20.00Jan 10, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$8.00Jan 3, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?$1.00Dec 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBattle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios$8.00Dec 28, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?$1.30Dec 28, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$12.70Dec 28, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?$35.14Dec 28, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".